Saturday, November 12, 2011

Will the Arab League freeze Syria's membership?

I don't expect the Arab League to freeze Syria's membership today. Too many other Arab dictators want to stop the flooding from spilling out of Syria and Yemen. I'm sure that Saudi Arabia and Qatar would like to do so, but whether it will be practicable to do so given the interference of countries like Lebanon, Algeria, Sudan and Yemen is very doubtful. The Yemeni regime has its own revolution to contend with, whilst Algeria and Lebanon are strong allies of the Syrian regime. Algeria and Syria both provided considerable support to Libya's Gaddafi during the civil war there, and Syrian pilots died in Libya. Lebanon, controlled by Hezbullah, will not do anything that could compromise Syria's regime, and will support it in the United Nations as well as in the Arab League. Sudan's regime is just stupid. So if Syria's membership is frozen today then I will be extremely surprised.

Somebody wake me up when it's all over.

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