Nicholas Noe writes for the Guardian on what he thinks is the silver lining for what is currently a very dark cloud. He is right in thinking that Hezbullah and the Christian Free Patriotic movement are most likely to win the elections, but to think that this would pressure Hezbullah to disarm are naive. When he talks about a "strong" Lebanese army being an incentive for the Party of God to drop their weapons, he misses the point that the majority of the army would be Lebanese Shia. He will also be sorely disappointed to know that the very concept of this "strong" army, in the eyes of Hezbullah and all its supporters, is identical with the capability, position and effectiveness of the movement as it stands at the moment, and the government will also be this way - especially with regards to the Zionist state. Washington and Tel Aviv also know this so I doubt very much that anyone will be taking much attention of Mr Noe's opinion. What a waste of five minutes.